The Transferable Belief Model for Expert Judgments and Reliability Problems
نویسنده
چکیده
We show how the transferable belief model (TBM) can be used to assess and to combine expert opinions. The transferable belief model has the advantage that it can handle weighted opinions and their aggregation without the introduction of any ad hoc methods. We also study a paradigm in reliability analysis. It shows that the TBM analysis leads to a solution diametrically opposed to the Bayesian solution.
منابع مشابه
belief function and the transferable belief model
Beliefs are the result of uncertainty. Sometimes uncertainty is because of a random process and sometimes the result of lack of information. In the past, the only solution in situations of uncertainty has been the probability theory. But the past few decades, various theories of other variables and systems are put forward for the systems with no adequate and accurate information. One of these a...
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